Series analyzed548
Skipped slices152
Pattern-result rows182,359
Forecast rows37,860
Unusual recent observations
Plain English: an unusual observation differs enough from that same series’ recent pattern for the model to flag it for review. It is not an official violation, closure, safety grade, or finding about a named restaurant. MAE describes model reconstruction error—not regulatory severity.
| Signal | Scope | Date | Model reconstruction error (MAE) | p-value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DBPR inspection severity-point activity per week, eligible cuisines | cuisine=tex-mex | 2026-10-26 | 1.24 | n/a |
| DBPR inspection severity-point activity per week, eligible cuisines | cuisine=desserts | 2026-10-19 | 1.23 | n/a |
| DBPR inspection severity-point activity per week, eligible cuisines | cuisine=chinese bbq | 2026-10-19 | 1.21 | n/a |
| DBPR inspection severity-point activity per week, eligible cuisines | cuisine=noodles | 2026-10-19 | 1.21 | n/a |
| DBPR inspection severity-point activity per week, eligible cuisines | cuisine=burgers | 2026-10-19 | 1.20 | n/a |
Model projections
Plain English: a projection extends the aggregate series forward if recent patterns continue. It is not a probability, guarantee, official action, or prediction that an individual restaurant will close or have violations.
| Signal | Slice | Projected change | First | Last |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Closure events per day, per metro | metro=treasure-coast | +5201.9% | 0.051 | 2.705 |
| Sunbiz dissolution events per week, statewide | statewide=statewide | +561.6% | 40.572 | 268.414 |
| Foursquare-reported cuisine closure rate per week, top 30 eligible cuisines | cuisine=brunch | +370.9% | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Closure events per day, per metro | metro=florida-keys | +338.7% | 0.232 | 1.020 |
| DBPR inspection severity-point activity per week, eligible cuisines | cuisine=crêperie | +279.2% | 1.523 | 5.774 |
| DBPR inspection severity-point activity per week, eligible cuisines | cuisine=popsicles | +225.3% | 0.758 | 2.465 |
| DBPR inspection severity-point activity per week, eligible cuisines | cuisine=oyster bar | +176.1% | 1.310 | 3.618 |
| Closure events per day, per metro | metro=fort-lauderdale | +114.9% | 2.710 | 5.823 |
| DBPR inspection severity-point activity per week, eligible cuisines | cuisine=ethiopian | +108.3% | 1.304 | 2.716 |
| Foursquare-reported cuisine closure rate per week, top 30 eligible cuisines | cuisine=fast food | -100.0% | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Foursquare-reported cuisine closure rate per week, top 30 eligible cuisines | cuisine=deli | -100.0% | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Foursquare-reported cuisine closure rate per week, top 30 eligible cuisines | cuisine=lounge | -100.0% | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Foursquare-reported cuisine closure rate per week, top 30 eligible cuisines | cuisine=froyo | -100.0% | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Foursquare-reported county closure rate per week, eligible Florida counties | county=hillsborough | -100.0% | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Foursquare-reported county closure rate per week, eligible Florida counties | county=seminole | -100.0% | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Foursquare-reported county closure rate per week, eligible Florida counties | county=pinellas | -100.0% | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Foursquare-reported county closure rate per week, eligible Florida counties | county=marion | -100.0% | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Foursquare-reported county closure rate per week, eligible Florida counties | county=osceola | -100.0% | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Foursquare-reported county closure rate per week, eligible Florida counties | county=sarasota | -100.0% | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Foursquare-reported county closure rate per week, eligible Florida counties | county=monroe | -100.0% | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Per-metro callouts
- metro=treasure-coast: Closure events per day, per metro projects +5201.9% over the forecast window.
- statewide=statewide: Sunbiz dissolution events per week, statewide projects +561.6% over the forecast window.
- cuisine=brunch: Foursquare-reported cuisine closure rate per week, top 30 eligible cuisines projects +370.9% over the forecast window.
- metro=florida-keys: Closure events per day, per metro projects +338.7% over the forecast window.
- cuisine=crêperie: DBPR inspection severity-point activity per week, eligible cuisines projects +279.2% over the forecast window.
- cuisine=popsicles: DBPR inspection severity-point activity per week, eligible cuisines projects +225.3% over the forecast window.
- cuisine=oyster bar: DBPR inspection severity-point activity per week, eligible cuisines projects +176.1% over the forecast window.
- metro=fort-lauderdale: Closure events per day, per metro projects +114.9% over the forecast window.
- cuisine=ethiopian: DBPR inspection severity-point activity per week, eligible cuisines projects +108.3% over the forecast window.
- cuisine=fast food: Foursquare-reported cuisine closure rate per week, top 30 eligible cuisines projects -100.0% over the forecast window.
- cuisine=deli: Foursquare-reported cuisine closure rate per week, top 30 eligible cuisines projects -100.0% over the forecast window.
- cuisine=lounge: Foursquare-reported cuisine closure rate per week, top 30 eligible cuisines projects -100.0% over the forecast window.
- cuisine=froyo: Foursquare-reported cuisine closure rate per week, top 30 eligible cuisines projects -100.0% over the forecast window.
- county=hillsborough: Foursquare-reported county closure rate per week, eligible Florida counties projects -100.0% over the forecast window.
- county=seminole: Foursquare-reported county closure rate per week, eligible Florida counties projects -100.0% over the forecast window.
- county=pinellas: Foursquare-reported county closure rate per week, eligible Florida counties projects -100.0% over the forecast window.
- county=marion: Foursquare-reported county closure rate per week, eligible Florida counties projects -100.0% over the forecast window.
- county=osceola: Foursquare-reported county closure rate per week, eligible Florida counties projects -100.0% over the forecast window.
- county=sarasota: Foursquare-reported county closure rate per week, eligible Florida counties projects -100.0% over the forecast window.
- county=monroe: Foursquare-reported county closure rate per week, eligible Florida counties projects -100.0% over the forecast window.