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Default window2014-01-01 to 2025-12-31
Ranked cities40
Excluded cities790
Sample guard30 active / 10 closures
Window comparison
| Window | Dates | Ranked cities | Excluded cities | Median rate | Overture divisions |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| full-corpus | 2014-01-01 to 2025-12-31 | 40 | 790 | 3.1% | yes |
| 5-year | 2020-01-01 to 2025-12-31 | 40 | 789 | 3.2% | yes |
| 3-year | 2023-01-01 to 2025-12-31 | 40 | 789 | 3.2% | yes |
| covid-era | 2020-01-01 to 2022-12-31 | 40 | 738 | 3.9% | yes |
| post-covid | 2023-01-01 to 2025-12-31 | 40 | 789 | 3.2% | yes |
full-corpus operator-prediction validation
| City | Rank | Bucket | Closures | Rate | Z | Percentile | Exclusion |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coral Springs | 3 | top_decile | 18 | 5.9% | 2.03 | 94.9 | |
| Boca Raton | 13 | middle | 30 | 4.2% | 0.75 | 69.2 | |
| Delray Beach | excluded (266 by rate) | excluded | 7 | 1.8% | -0.97 | 68.0 | fewer than 10 unified-closure events |
| Pompano Beach | 31 | bottom | 10 | 2.5% | -0.45 | 23.1 |
5-year operator-prediction validation
| City | Rank | Bucket | Closures | Rate | Z | Percentile | Exclusion |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coral Springs | 3 | top_decile | 18 | 5.9% | 2.03 | 94.9 | |
| Boca Raton | 13 | middle | 30 | 4.2% | 0.74 | 69.2 | |
| Delray Beach | excluded (266 by rate) | excluded | 7 | 1.8% | -0.97 | 68.0 | fewer than 10 unified-closure events |
| Pompano Beach | 31 | bottom | 10 | 2.5% | -0.46 | 23.1 |
3-year operator-prediction validation
| City | Rank | Bucket | Closures | Rate | Z | Percentile | Exclusion |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coral Springs | 3 | top_decile | 18 | 5.9% | 2.04 | 94.9 | |
| Boca Raton | 13 | middle | 30 | 4.2% | 0.73 | 69.2 | |
| Delray Beach | excluded (266 by rate) | excluded | 7 | 1.8% | -0.98 | 68.0 | fewer than 10 unified-closure events |
| Pompano Beach | 31 | bottom | 10 | 2.5% | -0.46 | 23.1 |
covid-era operator-prediction validation
| City | Rank | Bucket | Closures | Rate | Z | Percentile | Exclusion |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coral Springs | 3 | top_decile | 18 | 6.5% | 1.73 | 94.9 | |
| Boca Raton | 14 | middle | 30 | 4.9% | 0.65 | 66.7 | |
| Delray Beach | excluded (276 by rate) | excluded | 7 | 2.2% | -1.10 | 64.6 | fewer than 10 unified-closure events |
| Pompano Beach | 29 | middle | 10 | 3.3% | -0.40 | 28.2 |
post-covid operator-prediction validation
| City | Rank | Bucket | Closures | Rate | Z | Percentile | Exclusion |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coral Springs | 3 | top_decile | 18 | 5.9% | 2.04 | 94.9 | |
| Boca Raton | 13 | middle | 30 | 4.2% | 0.73 | 69.2 | |
| Delray Beach | excluded (266 by rate) | excluded | 7 | 1.8% | -0.98 | 68.0 | fewer than 10 unified-closure events |
| Pompano Beach | 31 | bottom | 10 | 2.5% | -0.46 | 23.1 |
Top 100 ranked cities
| Rank | City | Active at start | Closures | Rate | Z | Percentile | p-value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | North Miami Beach | 170 | 14 | 8.2% | 3.76 | 100.0 | 0.0000 |
| 2 | Leesburg | 157 | 10 | 6.4% | 2.38 | 97.4 | 0.0058 |
| 3 | Coral Springs | 305 | 18 | 5.9% | 2.03 | 94.9 | 0.0008 |
| 4 | Ormond Beach | 221 | 11 | 5.0% | 1.35 | 92.3 | 0.0444 |
| 5 | Deerfield Beach | 205 | 10 | 4.9% | 1.28 | 89.7 | 0.0645 |
| 6 | Hollywood | 453 | 22 | 4.9% | 1.26 | 87.2 | 0.0064 |
| 7 | Pembroke Pines | 381 | 18 | 4.7% | 1.17 | 84.6 | 0.0192 |
| 8 | Miami Beach | 717 | 33 | 4.6% | 1.08 | 82.1 | 0.0025 |
| 9 | Doral | 284 | 13 | 4.6% | 1.06 | 79.5 | 0.0618 |
| 10 | New Port Richey | 234 | 10 | 4.3% | 0.83 | 76.9 | 0.1583 |
| 11 | Coral Gables | 262 | 11 | 4.2% | 0.78 | 74.4 | 0.1559 |
| 12 | Fort Lauderdale | 1,105 | 46 | 4.2% | 0.75 | 71.8 | 0.0042 |
| 13 | Boca Raton | 722 | 30 | 4.2% | 0.75 | 69.2 | 0.0219 |
| 14 | Port St. Lucie | 462 | 19 | 4.1% | 0.71 | 66.7 | 0.0760 |
| 15 | Winter Park | 283 | 11 | 3.9% | 0.55 | 64.1 | 0.2483 |
| 16 | Melbourne | 490 | 18 | 3.7% | 0.39 | 61.5 | 0.2178 |
| 17 | Brandon | 305 | 11 | 3.6% | 0.34 | 59.0 | 0.3684 |
| 18 | Stuart | 301 | 10 | 3.3% | 0.13 | 56.4 | 0.5539 |
| 19 | Vero Beach | 333 | 11 | 3.3% | 0.12 | 53.8 | 0.5475 |
| 20 | Bradenton | 697 | 22 | 3.2% | 0.01 | 51.3 | 0.5254 |
| 21 | Sunrise | 319 | 10 | 3.1% | -0.01 | 48.7 | 0.6857 |
| 22 | Daytona Beach | 417 | 13 | 3.1% | -0.02 | 46.2 | 0.6589 |
| 23 | Tampa | 2,858 | 88 | 3.1% | -0.05 | 43.6 | 0.2935 |
| 24 | St. Augustine | 609 | 18 | 3.0% | -0.14 | 41.0 | 0.7722 |
| 25 | Sarasota | 957 | 28 | 2.9% | -0.16 | 38.5 | 0.7587 |
| 26 | Kissimmee | 1,027 | 28 | 2.7% | -0.31 | 35.9 | 0.9405 |
| 27 | Orlando | 4,468 | 119 | 2.7% | -0.36 | 33.3 | 0.6698 |
| 28 | West Palm Beach | 844 | 22 | 2.6% | -0.40 | 30.8 | 0.7786 |
| 29 | Pensacola | 855 | 22 | 2.6% | -0.42 | 28.2 | 0.7314 |
| 30 | Lakeland | 626 | 16 | 2.6% | -0.44 | 25.6 | 0.7493 |
| 31 | Pompano Beach | 395 | 10 | 2.5% | -0.45 | 23.1 | 0.7773 |
| 32 | Cape Coral | 396 | 10 | 2.5% | -0.46 | 20.5 | 0.7711 |
| 33 | Clearwater | 598 | 15 | 2.5% | -0.47 | 17.9 | 0.7014 |
| 34 | Jacksonville | 2,817 | 66 | 2.3% | -0.59 | 15.4 | 0.1630 |
| 35 | Miami | 4,821 | 111 | 2.3% | -0.62 | 12.8 | 0.0419 |
| 36 | Gainesville | 582 | 13 | 2.2% | -0.67 | 10.3 | 0.4329 |
| 37 | Fort Myers | 1,129 | 22 | 1.9% | -0.88 | 7.7 | 0.0917 |
| 38 | Naples | 1,086 | 21 | 1.9% | -0.89 | 5.1 | 0.0922 |
| 39 | Tallahassee | 815 | 15 | 1.8% | -0.96 | 2.6 | 0.1055 |
| 40 | St. Petersburg | 892 | 16 | 1.8% | -1.00 | 0.0 | 0.0750 |
Showing the top 40 of 40 qualifying cities.
Top 25 High Turnover Area neighborhoods
| Rank | Division | City | Active | Closures | Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Doral | Doral | 194 | 11 | 5.7% |
| 2 | Coral Springs | Coral Springs | 240 | 12 | 5.0% |
| 3 | Pembroke Pines | Pembroke Pines | 312 | 14 | 4.5% |
| 4 | Hollywood | Hollywood | 286 | 11 | 3.8% |
Showing the top 4 of 4 ranked neighborhoods.
Population density uses U.S. Census Bureau 2020 city/place population. City claims use Wilson 95% intervals and Mann-Whitney U p-values.
Top 20 oversaturated cuisines statewide
| Rank | Cuisine | Licenses | Closures | Rate | Vs median | Z | p-value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vietnamese | 256 | 26 | 10.2% | 2.85x | 2.98 | 0.1801 |
| 2 | Korean | 122 | 10 | 8.2% | 2.30x | 2.09 | 1.0000 |
| 3 | Indian | 286 | 21 | 7.3% | 2.06x | 1.71 | 1.0000 |
| 4 | Caribbean | 256 | 18 | 7.0% | 1.97x | 1.57 | 1.0000 |
| 5 | Mexican | 2,195 | 147 | 6.7% | 1.88x | 1.41 | 0.0014 |
| 6 | Greek | 241 | 14 | 5.8% | 1.63x | 1.01 | 1.0000 |
| 7 | Peruvian | 242 | 14 | 5.8% | 1.62x | 1.00 | 1.0000 |
| 8 | Japanese, Thai & Sushi | 1,984 | 113 | 5.7% | 1.60x | 0.96 | 0.0767 |
| 9 | Mediterranean | 251 | 13 | 5.2% | 1.45x | 0.73 | 1.0000 |
| 10 | Bakery | 826 | 42 | 5.1% | 1.43x | 0.69 | 1.0000 |
| 11 | Asian | 246 | 12 | 4.9% | 1.37x | 0.59 | 1.0000 |
| 12 | French | 241 | 11 | 4.6% | 1.28x | 0.45 | 1.0000 |
| 13 | Health Food | 454 | 18 | 4.0% | 1.11x | 0.18 | 1.0000 |
| 14 | Juice/Smoothie | 460 | 18 | 3.9% | 1.10x | 0.16 | 1.0000 |
| 15 | Italian & Pizza | 5,104 | 184 | 3.6% | 1.01x | 0.02 | 1.0000 |
| 16 | Latin American | 449 | 16 | 3.6% | 1.00x | 0.00 | 1.0000 |
| 17 | Cafe | 2,131 | 63 | 3.0% | 0.83x | -0.27 | 1.0000 |
| 18 | Seafood | 1,664 | 49 | 2.9% | 0.83x | -0.28 | 1.0000 |
| 19 | Bar | 1,639 | 47 | 2.9% | 0.80x | -0.31 | 1.0000 |
| 20 | Cuban | 560 | 16 | 2.9% | 0.80x | -0.32 | 1.0000 |
1 cuisines passed Holm-adjusted p<0.05; the table still shows the top raw statewide rates.
Retail Rebrand Hot Spots
| Rank | Cuisine | Supertransition addresses | Total addresses | Rate | Rate rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | American | 37 | 2,225 | 1.7% | 2 |
| 2 | Italian & Pizza | 26 | 4,905 | 0.5% | 12 |
| 3 | Mexican | 24 | 2,145 | 1.1% | 6 |
| 4 | Bar | 22 | 1,483 | 1.5% | 3 |
| 5 | Desserts | 17 | 2,239 | 0.8% | 9 |
| 6 | Japanese, Thai & Sushi | 13 | 1,951 | 0.7% | 10 |
| 7 | Seafood | 13 | 1,585 | 0.8% | 8 |
| 8 | Bakery | 9 | 813 | 1.1% | 7 |
| 9 | Health Food | 8 | 447 | 1.8% | 1 |
| 10 | Cafe | 7 | 2,106 | 0.3% | 15 |
| 11 | Diner | 7 | 1,538 | 0.5% | 13 |
| 12 | Chicken | 6 | 930 | 0.6% | 11 |
| 13 | Chinese | 6 | 1,507 | 0.4% | 14 |
| 14 | Cuban | 6 | 527 | 1.1% | 5 |
| 15 | Fast Food | 6 | 3,601 | 0.2% | 17 |
| 16 | Latin American | 6 | 410 | 1.5% | 4 |
| 17 | Sandwiches | 5 | 1,616 | 0.3% | 16 |
742 addresses have at least 3 distinct DBAs in the inspection history; 267 resolve to a current cuisine.
Per-metro cuisine callouts
| Metro | DBPR inactive/delinquent-license axis | Same-address transition axis |
|---|---|---|
| Florida Keys | Bar in Key Largo (33.3% DBPR inactive/delinquent share vs 2.9% statewide), Cafe in Tavernier (33.3% DBPR inactive/delinquent share vs 3.0% statewide), Bakery in Key Largo (33.3% DBPR inactive/delinquent share vs 5.1% statewide) | American in Islamorada (1 rebrand addresses, 25.0%), Bar in Islamorada (1 rebrand addresses, 25.0%), Bar in Key West (1 rebrand addresses, 5.6%) |
| Fort Lauderdale | Italian & Pizza in Lauderdale By The Sea (50.0% DBPR inactive/delinquent share vs 3.6% statewide), Brazilian in Deerfield Beach (40.0% DBPR inactive/delinquent share vs 6.2% statewide), Burgers in Lauderhill (33.3% DBPR inactive/delinquent share vs 2.2% statewide) | Desserts in Coral Springs (1 rebrand addresses, 4.3%), Bar in Fort Lauderdale (2 rebrand addresses, 4.9%), Deli in Fort Lauderdale (1 rebrand addresses, 8.3%) |
| Jacksonville | Fast Food in Neptune Beach (33.3% DBPR inactive/delinquent share vs 0.6% statewide), Burgers in Palatka (33.3% DBPR inactive/delinquent share vs 2.2% statewide), Diner in Atlantic Beach (33.3% DBPR inactive/delinquent share vs 2.7% statewide) | Sandwiches in Atlantic Beach (1 rebrand addresses, 33.3%), Mexican in Jacksonville (2 rebrand addresses, 2.0%), Japanese, Thai & Sushi in Jacksonville (2 rebrand addresses, 1.8%) |
| Miami | Juice/Smoothie in Aventura (100.0% DBPR inactive/delinquent share vs 3.9% statewide), Burgers in Aventura (33.3% DBPR inactive/delinquent share vs 2.2% statewide), Bar in Doral (33.3% DBPR inactive/delinquent share vs 2.9% statewide) | American in Aventura (1 rebrand addresses, 33.3%), Health Food in Coral Gables (1 rebrand addresses, 16.7%), Cafe in Hialeah (2 rebrand addresses, 7.1%) |
| North Florida | Burgers in Crestview (66.7% DBPR inactive/delinquent share vs 2.2% statewide), Wine Bar in Pensacola (33.3% DBPR inactive/delinquent share vs 1.7% statewide), Vietnamese in Gainesville (33.3% DBPR inactive/delinquent share vs 10.2% statewide) | American in Alachua (1 rebrand addresses, 33.3%), Bar in Destin (1 rebrand addresses, 12.5%), Japanese, Thai & Sushi in Fort Walton Beach (1 rebrand addresses, 6.7%) |
| Orlando | Indian in Lakeland (66.7% DBPR inactive/delinquent share vs 7.3% statewide), Puerto Rican in Sanford (66.7% DBPR inactive/delinquent share vs 9.5% statewide), Sandwiches in Eustis (40.0% DBPR inactive/delinquent share vs 1.6% statewide) | Fast Food in Altamonte Springs (1 rebrand addresses, 8.3%), Chinese in Auburndale (1 rebrand addresses, 33.3%), Bakery in Clermont (1 rebrand addresses, 25.0%) |
| Southwest Florida | Mexican in Lake Placid (66.7% DBPR inactive/delinquent share vs 6.7% statewide), Cafe in Englewood (50.0% DBPR inactive/delinquent share vs 3.0% statewide), Chinese in Okeechobee (33.3% DBPR inactive/delinquent share vs 2.2% statewide) | Mexican in Bradenton (1 rebrand addresses, 4.3%), American in Bradenton (1 rebrand addresses, 3.8%), American in Fort Myers (3 rebrand addresses, 6.4%) |
| Tampa Bay | Sports Bar in Oldsmar (66.7% DBPR inactive/delinquent share vs 1.8% statewide), Indian in Brandon (50.0% DBPR inactive/delinquent share vs 7.3% statewide), Mexican in New Port Richey (37.5% DBPR inactive/delinquent share vs 6.7% statewide) | Seafood in Brooksville (1 rebrand addresses, 33.3%), American in Clearwater (1 rebrand addresses, 4.0%), Mexican in Crystal River (1 rebrand addresses, 20.0%) |
| Treasure Coast | Diner in Sebastian (33.3% DBPR inactive/delinquent share vs 2.7% statewide), Japanese, Thai & Sushi in Sebastian (33.3% DBPR inactive/delinquent share vs 5.7% statewide), Indian in Port St. Lucie (33.3% DBPR inactive/delinquent share vs 7.3% statewide) | Caribbean in Fort Pierce (1 rebrand addresses, 33.3%), Seafood in Fort Pierce (1 rebrand addresses, 14.3%), Italian & Pizza in Fort Pierce (1 rebrand addresses, 5.3%) |
| West Palm Beach | Cocktail Bar in West Palm Beach (33.3% DBPR inactive/delinquent share vs 1.8% statewide), Burgers in Lantana (33.3% DBPR inactive/delinquent share vs 2.2% statewide), Pub in Delray Beach (33.3% DBPR inactive/delinquent share vs 2.8% statewide) | American in Boca Raton (2 rebrand addresses, 7.4%), Sandwiches in Boca Raton (1 rebrand addresses, 16.7%), Desserts in Boynton Beach (1 rebrand addresses, 12.5%) |
County retail-rebrand callouts
- Palm Beach: Mexican leads the same-address transition signal (4 supertransition addresses out of 146), while its license-status axis is 7.9% DBPR inactive/delinquent-license share.
- Dade: American leads the same-address transition signal (6 supertransition addresses out of 152), while its license-status axis is outside the top DBPR inactive/delinquent-license cuisines.
- Broward: Fast Food leads the same-address transition signal (3 supertransition addresses out of 270), while its license-status axis is outside the top DBPR inactive/delinquent-license cuisines.
- Orange: Latin American leads the same-address transition signal (4 supertransition addresses out of 36), while its license-status axis is outside the top DBPR inactive/delinquent-license cuisines.
- Hillsborough: American leads the same-address transition signal (4 supertransition addresses out of 147), while its license-status axis is outside the top DBPR inactive/delinquent-license cuisines.
- Pinellas: American leads the same-address transition signal (1 supertransition addresses out of 105), while its license-status axis is outside the top DBPR inactive/delinquent-license cuisines.
- Duval: Mexican leads the same-address transition signal (2 supertransition addresses out of 111), while its license-status axis is 7.9% DBPR inactive/delinquent-license share.
- Lee: American leads the same-address transition signal (3 supertransition addresses out of 97), while its license-status axis is outside the top DBPR inactive/delinquent-license cuisines.